Gold Stages Impressive Rebound on Short Covering, Bargain Hunting

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Gold Stages Impressive Rebound on Short Covering,

The gold market is posting an impressive price rebound in late-morning trading Friday. After hitting a fresh two-week low in the wake of a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report, a wave of short covering and bargain-hunting buying interest hit the gold market to drive prices well above unchanged. The fact that gold prices have been able to rally in the face of the bearish U.S. jobs report and amid a very strong U.S. dollar index Friday morning is very encouraging, from the bulls' point of view.

Also, gold prices dropped down to challenge strong technical support at the February low, but did not push below it, and then rebounded. That's another bullish clue that a market bottom is in place, or close at hand. A close above unchanged levels on Friday would give the bulls some confidence that a near-term market bottom is indeed in place. A  technically bullish weekly high close in gold prices on Friday would provide the bulls with better confidence the market has put in a near-term low. April Comex gold last traded up $5.00 an ounce at $1,580.00.


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U.S. Stocks Fall as Fed Maintains Plan as Economy Shrinks

Nine out of the 10 groups in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index retreated as energy and industrial companies fell the most, dropping at least 0.6 percent. An index of homebuilders slipped 1.3 percent as Lennar Corp. declined 2.4 percent. Amazon.com Inc. jumped 4.8 percent after reporting gains in sales and North American operating margin. Facebook Inc. fell 1.4 percent in late trading after posting a drop in profit.
The S&P 500 fell 0.4 percent to 1,501.96 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 44 points, or 0.3 percent, to 13,910.42. Both measures yesterday reached their highest levels since 2007. The Russell 2000 Index slid 1.2 percent, falling from yesterday’s record high. About 6.8 billion shares traded hands on U.S. exchanges today, or 9.5 percent above the three-month average.
“The underlying trend for the market is upward, but the problem is there is some weakness in the economic numbers that I don’t think investors have fully factored in,” David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Funds in New York, said by phone. His firm oversees about $400 billion. “It’s transitory as the Fed said. But when you put in a negative number on GDP for the fourth quarter, it’s hard for the market to rally.”
Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has unleashed the power of the central bank to buy unlimited amounts of Treasury and mortgage- backed securities in a bid to end a four-year long period of unemployment above 7.5 percent and bolster the economy. The central bank said today it will keep purchasing securities at the rate of $85 billion a month as the economy paused because of temporary forces including bad weather

Boeing reported a profit of $978 million

Boeing reported a profit of $978 million, or $1.28 a share, down from $1.39 billion, or $1.84 a share, a year earlier.

Core operating earnings--which adjusts to exclude pension components related to market fluctuations and other impacts--were $1.46 compared with $1.92 a year earlier, which included 52 cents a share related to a favorable tax settlement.

Revenue increased 14% to $22.3 billion.

Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters most recently projected earnings of $1.19 on revenue of $22.36 billion.

Earnings to Watch (22/01/2013)

Tuesday before Market Open, or BMO:

Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE:DAL)provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo across the U.S. and around the world. The company has a market capitalization of $11.69 billion. It is expected to report fiscal year 2012 fourth-quarter EPS of 28 cents on revenue of $8.58 billion, compared with a profit of 45 cents a share on revenue of $8.4 billion in the year-ago period. The analysts' consensus full-year forecast calls for EPS of $1.83 on revenue of $36.65 billion. That compares to $1.41 per share and $35.12 billion in the previous year. Delta Air Lines is trading around $13.76 a share. Over the past 12 months, the stock has gained 57.9 percent.

E.I. Du Pont De Nemours and Co. (NYSE:DD) is a chemical company. The company has a market cap of $43.11 billion. It is expected to report FY 2012 fourth-quarter EPS of 7 cents on revenue of $7.3 billion, compared with a profit of 35 cents a share on revenue of $8.43 billion in the year-ago period. The analysts' consensus full-year forecast calls for EPS of $3.29 on revenue of $35.42 billion. That compares to $3.93 per share and $37.96 billion in the previous year. DuPont is trading around $46.25 a share. Over the past 12 months, the stock has lost 4.8 percent.

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (NYSE:FCX) is an international mining company. The company has a market cap of $32.35 billion. It is expected to report FY 2012 fourth-quarter EPS of 76 cents on revenue of $4.62 billion, compared with a profit of 67 cents a share on revenue of $4.16 billion in the year-ago period. The analysts' consensus full-year forecast calls for EPS of $3.22 on revenue of $18.27 billion. That compares to $4.84 per share and $20.88 billion in the previous year. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold is trading around $34.15 a share. Over the past 12 months, the stock has lost 20.9 percent.

Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ)is engaged in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of a range of products in the health-care field. The company has a market cap of $201.89 billion. It's expected to report FY 2012 fourth-quarter EPS of $1.17 on revenue of $17.67 billion, compared with a profit of $1.13 a share on revenue of $16.26 billion in the year-ago period. The analysts' consensus full-year forecast calls for EPS of $5.09 on revenue of $67.31 billion. That compares to $5.00 per share and $65.03 billion in the previous year. J&J is trading around $72.87 a share. Over the past 12 months, the stock has gained 11.9 percent.

Regions Financial Corp. (NYSE:RF)is a financial holding company. The company has a market cap of $10.48 billion. It is expected to report FY 2012 fourth-quarter EPS of 21 cents on revenue of $1.35 billion, compared with a profit of 9 cents a share on revenue of $1.36 billion in the year-ago period. The analysts' consensus full-year forecast calls for EPS of 74 cents on revenue of $5.42 billion. That compares to 17 cents per share and $5.55 billion in the previous year. Regions Financial is trading around $7.41 a share. Over the past 12 months, the stock has gained 54.6 percent.

Synovus Financial Corp. (NYSE:SNV) is a financial-services and bank holding company. The company has a market cap of $2.07 billion. It is expected to report a loss of 9 cents per share in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2012 on revenue of $278.93 million, compared with a profit of 1 cent a share on revenue of $300.63 million in the year-ago period. The analysts' consensus full-year forecast calls for a loss per share of 1 cent on revenue of $1.14 billion. That compares to a loss of 15 cents per share and $1.26 billion in the previous year. Synovus Financial is trading around $2.63 a share. Over the past 12 months, the stock has gained 64.8 percent.

The Travelers Cos. Inc. (NYSE:TRV)is engaged in providing a range of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services. The company has a market cap of $28.99 billion. It is expected to report FY 2012 fourth-quarter EPS of 14 cents on revenue of $5.34 billion, compared with a profit of $1.48 a share on revenue of $5.26 billion in the year-ago period. The analysts' consensus full-year forecast calls for EPS of $5.66 on revenue of $22.37 billion. That compares to $3.28 per share and $22.19 billion in the previous year. Travelers is trading around $76.01 a share. Over the past 12 months, the stock has gained 16.3 percent.

Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ) is a provider of communications, information, and entertainment products and services to consumers, businesses, and governmental agencies. The company has a market cap of $120.66 billion. It's expected to report FY 2012 fourth-quarter EPS of 54 cents on revenue of $29.73 billion, compared with a profit of 52 cents a share on revenue of $28.44 billion in the year-ago period. The analysts' consensus full-year forecast calls for EPS of $2.41 on revenue of $115.49 billion. That compares to $2.15 per share and $110.88 billion in the previous year. Verizon is trading around $42.27 a share. Over the past 12 months, the stock has gained 8.3 percent

A Quick Glance at News (22/01/2013)

The Bank of Japanannounced on Tuesday its most determined effort yet to end years of economic stagnation, saying it would switch to an open-ended commitment to buying assets next year and double its inflation target to 2 percent.

Asian shares rose on Tuesday amid optimism over the globalgrowth outlook, but bold easing measures from the Bank of Japanfailed to lift Tokyo equities and the yen rebounded from a brief sell-off as investors digested the central bank's actions.

U.S. safety investigators on Sunday ruled out excessvoltage as the cause of a battery fire this month on a Boeing Co (BA.N) 787 Dreamliner jet operated by Japan Airlines Co (JAL) (9201.T) and said they were expanding the probe to look at the battery's charger and the jet's auxiliary power.

The yen briefly fell against the dollar on Tuesday after the Bankof Japansurprised markets by adopting an open-ended commitment to buy assets, but later regained ground as the new scheme for additional purchases only comes into effect next year.

Shares of Research In Motion surged to a 13-month high on Mondayafter its chief executive said the company may consider strategic alliances with other companies after the launch of devices powered by RIM's new BlackBerry 10 operating system.

Brent crude rose 0.3 percent to $112.07 a barrel as the BOJ's latest easing action added to the recent positive data from the United States and China, while growing confidence in the strength of China's economic recovery pushed London copper up 0.7 percent to $8,111.75 a metric ton.

Republican leaders in the U.S. House of Representatives have scheduled a vote on Wednesday on a nearly four-month extension of U.S. borrowing capacity, aimed at avoiding a fight over the looming federal debt ceiling and shifting their negotiating leverage for spending cuts to other fiscal deadlines.

Bank of Japan to adopt 2% inflation target

The Bank of Japan on Tuesday formally adopted a 2% inflation target in a major shift in its policy stance, and said it will continue its asset purchases on an "open-ended" basis to further expand its monetary stimulus. At the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting, the central bank said its "price stability target" of 2% year-on-year increase in consumer prices will replace its previous "goal" of a 1% increase in inflation. Under its open-ended asset purchases, the Bank of Japan said it will pursue "aggressive monetary easing" aimed at achieving its 2% price stability target, "through a virtually zero interest rate policy and purchases of financial assets," for as long as the bank judges it appropriate. The decision sent the yen and Japanese stocks on a wild ride: The yen initially fell sharply after the announcement, sending stocks rallying, but the currency soon bounced back sharply as the market digested the details, with shares likewise moving back to losses

Gold and silver bullion are on the move

The price movement of gold and silver often attract much attention. When prices make a noticeable increase, it regularly leads to perma-bulls calling for the next great explosion in precious metals. On the other hand, any dips or corrections lead to critics calling for an end to the 12-year bull market. Both sides are debatable, but there is no denying that physical bullion made impressive moves this past week.

The Bundesbank confirmed reports and announced it will repatriate a portion of its foreign gold reserves. By 2020, the central bank intends to store half of Germany’s gold reserves in its own vaults within the country, compared to only 31% now. The other half will remain in New York and London. The plan will remove 300 tonnes of gold from New York, reducing Germany’s percentage of reserves held at the New York Federal Reserve from 45% to 37%. Another 374 tonnes will be relocated from Paris to Frankfurt, which removes all of Germany’s gold held in France’s capital.

Central banks have shown a great deal of interest in gold over the past few years. For the first-time in decades, central banks across the globe became net buyers of the precious metal in 2009. Last year, central bank purchases increased 17% to 536 metric tons, according to Thomas Reuters GFMS. This represents the biggest addition to gold reserves in 48 years. The organization also expects central banks to add another 280 tons in the first half of 2013.

Silver making moves too…

Gold is not the only precious metal making moves this week. The iShares Silver Trust, which is the biggest exchange-traded fund for silver, added 572 tons of the metal. It is the biggest increase in assets for the BlackRock  managed fund since December 2007. The ETF has received inflows of more than $600 million this week, leading all ETFs in the marketplace. According to Bloomberg and Barclays, global investment through all silver-backed exchange-traded products is at a record 19,114 tons.

Demand in silver coins is also showing strength. The U.S. Mint suspended sales of the new American Silver Eagle. In a statement to authorized purchasers, the Mint explains, “The United States Mint has temporarily sold out of 2013 American Eagle Silver Bullion coins. As a result, sales are suspended until we can build up an inventory of these coins. Sales will resume on or about the week of January 28, 2013, via the allocation process.”

The 2013 American Silver Eagle was initially released on Jan. 7, 2013. On the first day of availability, the Mint received more than 3.9 million orders, the highest one-day of sales in the history of the program. According to the latest information on the Mint’s website, sales have reached about 6 million coins for January and are on pace to surpass the all-time high of 6.1 million coins set in January 2012.